Mark Phillips just posted an opinion piece in the top section of the forum. Since I can't reply to it there, let me do it here.
First, he claims that FreeBSD is doing well (meaning: not dying), because the number of Google searches for it has a slight uptrend, while the number of Google searches for Linux is constant. So let's look at the data, which he clearly got from Google Trends. Here is the number of searches if you make the search window 5 years:
Neither graph shows a trend, unless one carefully selects a time period. Any notion that the number of searches goes up or down by more than a few percent a year is not supported by the data. But what he omits in there is that the number of searches for the two terms is RADICALLY different. For fun, let's put them on the same graph:
The red line is searches for "linux", the blue line for "freebsd". Even if the searches for FreeBSD went up by a few percent per year, it would take a century to catch up to Linux. So his attempt at using data to make an argument falls flat.
Next, he claims that Linux has succeeded in the market place because the word "Linux" has become synonymous with "operating system", because of the "Kleenex" effect (he uses the examples Hoover, Google, and Zoom for products where the brand name has become a description of the product). He conveniently ignores the fact that Hoover has ceased to exist (it's today only a brand name used in a part of the world by a Chinese manufacturer, with a small market share), and that other cases of the effect ended up self-defeating (Kodak is the textbook example).
But even worse: Linux is exclusively used by nearly all supercomputers (100% of the top500 list), nearly all hyperscalers, and the bulk of servers in the world. Claiming that this dominance is caused by a brand name effect, and not by technical considerations, is claiming that people who spend somewhere between tens of millions and tens of billions on computers make decisions based on emotions and familiarity with brand names. That seems far fetched, and is quite insulting to decision makers. If someone told the folks who just bought El Capitan, or who run tens of millions of FAANG servers on Linux (and few or none on FreeBSD) that they ignored technical merit, and spent $600M or $1B/year based on brand name familiarity only, they would get very mad, justifiably so.
But then he (correctly) points out that there are some companies actually using FreeBSD, and points to a Register (!) interview that talks about FreeBSD actually being used, and pointing at the usual success stories: NetApp, Netflix, ignoring conveniently that a large fraction of Netflix' machines actually run Linux, and FreeBSD is only used there for the streaming servers. Well great, so why are Google and Amazon and Baidu not using FreeBSD? Each of them is 100x larger than Netflix?
Finally, he puts his fingers on what he thinks the reason is that nobody talks about the great successes of FreeBSD: It's the license! Under the BSD license, you can modify the source, and don't have to contribute it back. True, but wholly irrelevant to the question of FreeBSD's mind share. Companies who use or modify FreeBSD (and equally Linux) are not required to be "talking about it" because of either license.
Then he claims that under the GPL you have to share derivative works. As a generalization, that is untrue: If you ship a product that employs a modified version of Linux, you also have to share the modifications you made to Linux, to the customers or users of that product. But you don't have to contribute the modifications back (although you can't stop your users/customers from doing so). And if you use Linux in-house, you don't have to share the modifications at all. And the really big users of Linux I mentioned above use the OS in-house. So no, many derivative works do not have to be shared.
There is an even more fundamental question though. Mark Phillips seems to be advocating that the BSD license is what is holding FreeBSD back. I find that quite an astonishing viewpoint from someone representing the Foundation.
In my (not at all humble opinion), that opinion piece is all around very bad.
First, he claims that FreeBSD is doing well (meaning: not dying), because the number of Google searches for it has a slight uptrend, while the number of Google searches for Linux is constant. So let's look at the data, which he clearly got from Google Trends. Here is the number of searches if you make the search window 5 years:
Neither graph shows a trend, unless one carefully selects a time period. Any notion that the number of searches goes up or down by more than a few percent a year is not supported by the data. But what he omits in there is that the number of searches for the two terms is RADICALLY different. For fun, let's put them on the same graph:
The red line is searches for "linux", the blue line for "freebsd". Even if the searches for FreeBSD went up by a few percent per year, it would take a century to catch up to Linux. So his attempt at using data to make an argument falls flat.
Next, he claims that Linux has succeeded in the market place because the word "Linux" has become synonymous with "operating system", because of the "Kleenex" effect (he uses the examples Hoover, Google, and Zoom for products where the brand name has become a description of the product). He conveniently ignores the fact that Hoover has ceased to exist (it's today only a brand name used in a part of the world by a Chinese manufacturer, with a small market share), and that other cases of the effect ended up self-defeating (Kodak is the textbook example).
But even worse: Linux is exclusively used by nearly all supercomputers (100% of the top500 list), nearly all hyperscalers, and the bulk of servers in the world. Claiming that this dominance is caused by a brand name effect, and not by technical considerations, is claiming that people who spend somewhere between tens of millions and tens of billions on computers make decisions based on emotions and familiarity with brand names. That seems far fetched, and is quite insulting to decision makers. If someone told the folks who just bought El Capitan, or who run tens of millions of FAANG servers on Linux (and few or none on FreeBSD) that they ignored technical merit, and spent $600M or $1B/year based on brand name familiarity only, they would get very mad, justifiably so.
But then he (correctly) points out that there are some companies actually using FreeBSD, and points to a Register (!) interview that talks about FreeBSD actually being used, and pointing at the usual success stories: NetApp, Netflix, ignoring conveniently that a large fraction of Netflix' machines actually run Linux, and FreeBSD is only used there for the streaming servers. Well great, so why are Google and Amazon and Baidu not using FreeBSD? Each of them is 100x larger than Netflix?
Finally, he puts his fingers on what he thinks the reason is that nobody talks about the great successes of FreeBSD: It's the license! Under the BSD license, you can modify the source, and don't have to contribute it back. True, but wholly irrelevant to the question of FreeBSD's mind share. Companies who use or modify FreeBSD (and equally Linux) are not required to be "talking about it" because of either license.
Then he claims that under the GPL you have to share derivative works. As a generalization, that is untrue: If you ship a product that employs a modified version of Linux, you also have to share the modifications you made to Linux, to the customers or users of that product. But you don't have to contribute the modifications back (although you can't stop your users/customers from doing so). And if you use Linux in-house, you don't have to share the modifications at all. And the really big users of Linux I mentioned above use the OS in-house. So no, many derivative works do not have to be shared.
There is an even more fundamental question though. Mark Phillips seems to be advocating that the BSD license is what is holding FreeBSD back. I find that quite an astonishing viewpoint from someone representing the Foundation.
In my (not at all humble opinion), that opinion piece is all around very bad.